Abstract:
Potential impacts of increased concentrations of atmospheric CO2 on terrestrial ecosystems have been the subject of numerous modeling studies. Most of the terrestrial biosphere models currently used in climate-change assessments do not consider nitrogen limitations on net carbon storage. Thus, they probably exaggerate the terrestrial biosphere’s potential to accumulate carbon in response to CO2 fertilization and so overestimate its potential to slow atmospheric CO2 rise and the rate of climate change.
Here, we explore the consequences of considering carbon-nitrogen interactions on the feedbacks between climate and the terrestrial carbon cycle using the Terrestrial Biogeochemistry Model (TEM). Considerations of carbon-nitrogen interactions not only limit the effects of CO2 fertilization, but also change the sign of the feedback between the climate and the terrestrial carbon cycle. In the absence of carbon-nitrogen interactions, surface warming significantly reduces sequestration in both vegetation and soil by increasing respiration and decomposition (a positive feedback). However, if plant carbon uptake is assumed to be nitrogen limited, an increase in decomposition leads to an increase in nitrogen availability that enables plants to respond to increased concentrations of atmospheric CO2. The resulting increased carbon uptake by vegetation can exceed carbon loss from the soil, leading to increased carbon sequestration (a negative feedback). Under very strong surface warming, however, terrestrial ecosystems become a carbon source whether or not carbon-nitrogen interactions are considered.