Stephen Del Grosso1, Stephen Ogle2, Tom Wirth3, Susan Asam4, Lauren Flinn1, William J. Parton5, Keith H. Paustian6, and F Jay Breidt1. (1) USDA ARS NPA SPNR, 2150 Centre Avenue Building D, Suite 100, Fort Collins, CO 80526, (2) Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, 1231 East Drive, Fort Collins, CO 80523, (3) U.S. EPA, 1200 Pennsylvania Avenue, N. W, Mail Code: 6207J, Washington, DC 20460, (4) ICF International, 1725 Eye St. NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20006, (5) NREL/CSU, Fort Collins, CO 80523, (6) Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State Univ, 1231 East Dr, Fort Collins, CO 80523
Until recently, IPCC emission factor methodology has been used exclusively to estimate GHG fluxes from soils for national inventories. However, the 2006 EPA greenhouse gas inventory includes estimates of N2O and CO2 fluxes from agricultural soils derived from simulations using DAYCENT and CENTURY. DAYCENT and CENTURY are process based terrestrial ecosystem models of intermediate complexity. Both models have been extensively tested with field data from various locations representing a wide range of vegetation types, soil classifications, and land management practices. DAYCENT simulates direct soil N2O emissions, as well as indirect N2O emissions from NO3 leaching and N volatilization, for major crops and grazed lands at sub-county level resolution using crop area data from the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). CENTURY simulates soil CO2 fluxes for major crops and grazed lands using land management area information from the Natural Resources Inventory (NRI). IPCC emission factor methodology was used to estimate N2O emissions and soil C fluxes for the minority (~10-15%) of agricultural land not simulated by the process based models. Meteorological data required to drive DAYCENT were acquired from DAYMET, while monthly weather required to run CENTURY are from PRISM. Soils data were acquired from STATSGO and NRI. Monte Carlo analyses were used to quantify uncertainty in N2O emissions and soil C fluxes. Results are reported in the Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks.